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  • Tim McGill

Mild Monday Then Feeling Just Like July

Highs only made it into the 60s on Sunday and even a few 50s along the lakeshore including Waukegan and Northerly Isle. Officially at O'Hare the high was 69°. After a cool start to May the month ended up running nearly a degree above average overall. This first week of June will feel more like July with temperatures well above average.

The HRRR model hints at upper 70s and lower 80s for highs this afternoon and today will be the coolest day of the week.

Tuesday is poised to be the hottest day of the year so far. The NAM model pushes highs to near 90° tomorrow. I think the models are underestimating the heat for Tuesday. With abundant sunshine it could easily climb into the lower 90s. The humidity will make it feel like the middle to upper 90s. A record high will be within reach. The record high for June 2nd is 92° set in 1944 and 1895.

Only spotty sprinkles and showers today will be followed by plenty of sunshine on Tuesday then possible a few stronger storms on Wednesday. Dry weather is expected for most of Thursday and through the weekend but more active weather possible early next week.

Both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature probability forecasts have us outlooked for above average temperatures overall through the middle of June.

Models are still suggesting the end of this month could be cooler than average. The model ensemble anomaly forecast for the week ending on June 26 has a strong signal for cooler than normal temps across much of the midwest.

Here is my 7 day forecast:

Today: Mostly cloudy, spotty sprinkles/showers , breezy High: 78

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, hot & humid, breezy Low: 64 High: 92

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, sct. showers/t-storms Low: 68 High: 84 (78 Lakefront)

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny Low: 63 High: 85 (75 Lakefront)

Friday: Partly cloudy, isolated shower or t-storm? Low: 66 High: 83

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny Low: 61 High: 79 ( 70 Lakefront)

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny Low: 58 High: 81 (72 Lakefront)


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